Don’t let the season’s longer days go to waste, make the most out of the weather and head out on some local adventures. June is Pride Month, and the best resource for what’s happening is the Pride Toronto website.

The Toronto Real Estate Board has released the numbers for May. We are seeing the same trends we’ve seen over the past few months; more listings on the market than this time last year, and fewer sales. Prices are down slightly compared to last year, with the exception of townhouses. There are definitely opportunities for buyers, especially for those who need more space!

As predicted, the Bank of Canada has reduced the key interest rate by .25%. I don't think this will have an immediate impact on the market, but it should give confidence to buyers that interest rates have peaked and are on the way back down, though we won't see the rates go as low as they were in 2020 and 2021.

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A lot has happened in the real estate market over the past few weeks, and the changes keep coming.

In April, not only did the Bank of Canada hold rates steady again, it indicated that an interest rate reduction was in the future cards. It will likely only be .25% when it happens – perhaps as early as June – but it would easily be enough to spur some people into action.

The federal government also released a budget and announced that starting on August 1, first-time homebuyers will be able to use up to $60,000 of their RRSPs for a downpayment (up from $35,000) and lenders will be able to offer them a 30 year amortization term as opposed to 25 years.

Will this have a major impact on the market? Probably not. The difference between monthly payments would be less than $250 on a $500,000 mortgage. However, it will help some first-time buyers enter the market, and that is definitely a good thing. Click here for more 

As for the market itself? March saw more of the same kinds of activity we’ve seen this year so far. We continue to see an abundance of new listings coming out and not as many sales. I rack this up to as potential buyers (investors and end users) wait for interest rates to drop. We’re definitely seeing this in the condo market more than the single-family home market.

In actual numbers:

In C08 (Yonge east to the Don Valley, Bloor to the Waterfront), there were 417 new listings in March and 128 sales, which is roughly only about 30%.

In C01 (Yonge west to the Dufferin rail tracks, Bloor to the Waterfront), the numbers were slightly higher – 757 listings with 256 sales, which means roughly 1/3 of the listings sold.

That may seem low, but even in the hottest market you’re lucky to see 60% of the homes listed actually sell. The number of properties being listed is lower than what’s being reported. I’m seeing listings being re-listed and refreshed, which skews the numbers. (Each time a property is re-listed, it counts as a new listing.)

What’s to come this spring?

I believe we’ll see a continued trend of more properties coming out on the market and fewer sales across the board. In specific sectors, we’ll see a higher percentage of single family homes selling, compared to condos.

Until interest rates come down, there won’t be a substantial change in activity levels even with the changes in the Federal budget.

I always like to highlight opportunities in the market. While it’s never good karma to take advantage of someone’s circumstances, there are deals to be had on condos. Some (though not many) sellers have to sell. There are definitely units that have been on the market for a while and are not getting traffic. When an offer comes along, the sellers are thankful to see it. It’s not desperation - people are just generally ready to negotiate because they want to get their property sold, especially if it has been on the market for so long.

I know buyers are waiting for interest rates to go down, but I don’t think it’s sunk in for buyers that this interest rate climate is probably the new normal for a while to come. We’re unlikely to see rates as low as they were in 2020 any time soon.

If you're curious about what's happening in your neighbourhood, please get in touch! 

Happy Spring... a time when we're re-energized, renewed and refreshed... and that includes my website. Take a peek at the revamped www.BE-AT-HOME.com and let me know your thoughts!

Scroll down and I've got some market predictions, bathroom upgrade ideas, and places to find the best fish & chips... as well as some exciting new property offerings!

Also below, and despite a little controversy, Hot Docs is set to return at the end of April with a full range of programming, from a film about trans-trendsetter Jackie Shane to films about world politics, and the climate.

As for the market, the unseasonably warm weather this winter led to a busier-than-usual market in March, and with signs pointing to an interest rate reduction coming this year, we anticipate the spring market will continue to be busy as more listings are hitting the market each week!

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We might be in the shortest month of the year, but the city is brimming with exciting upcoming events. One in particular to keep watch for is Sugar Shack TO... maple syrup enthusiasts unite!! And, if you’re a night owl, the city has got you covered with some fantastic 24-hour dining options.

The Bank of Canada chose to hold interest rates steady at the end of January, but even without a rate decrease, we're seeing more activity in the market, including a return to multiple offers because there are so few properties on the market. If you are considering making a move this year, now is the time to get started!

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In the first three days after March Break, the Toronto housing market was inundated with new listings. Will that translate into sales? We’ll have to wait until the March numbers are released, but one thing to keep in mind is that in February, the average single family home was on the market for 26 days, while the average condo took 41 days.

The spring market traditionally begins after Easter, but because we’ve had the warmest winter on record since 2009, house hunting has become more appealing and with the exception of March Break, it’s been a busy month!

One thing is for certain - there’s less emotion in the market than there was before, especially for condo buyers. Buyers are confident that they’ll find what they want. Last month there were about 4,400 condos on the market, including 2,237 that were listed in February.

There also doesn’t seem to be any sense of urgency around units that are usually in high demand which is adding the amount of time properties are staying on the market. Add to that, a lot of listings are being terminated and then relisted either at the same price or at a lower price which increases the "property days on market" even more.

The reason this is happening is people are still testing the market looking for a deal. When it comes to condos, if they are looking to purchase, they are being careful and waiting patiently for the right opportunity.

Case in point, a unit at the Massey Harris lofts (not my listing!). It shows beautifully and they don’t come up very often, but after three weeks, the price was lowered. It went from $1,149,000 to under $1M and as of this writing, it’s still on the market.

Single family homes are a different story. One thing I’m noticing is that so many sales are significantly over asking (like hundreds of thousands of dollars), which could partly be due to underpricing, but also people are expecting an interest rate drop and they’re trying to get ahead of the expected uptick in the market because of lowered rates.

I think when we get the March stats, we’ll see the price of condos remain fairly stagnant, but there will be price growth in the single family home market.

The media is also driving the market. If you read the headlines, you see things like “First-Time Buyers Are Bringing On Bidding Wars And Closing In On $1M Listings”

“What will Toronto's spring housing market look like? Experts say first-time buyers are back — and prices could jump 6% this year”

I often am asked when is the best time to make a move and my answer is always the same. You can try to strategize the market and time it perfectly, but it's rare that one ever hits the bottom or the top of the market. Those that succeed most in real estate, are those that ride allong the middle over time. Quite, honeslty, it always comes down to making a move at the time that’s best for you.

I can’t predict if there will be a substantial difference between what’s happening in the market now and what will happen later this spring. Even if the Bank of Canada decreases the interest rate, it’ll be a quarter of a percent, which will give people some positivity. It may drive a few buyers forward, but I don’t know whether it’ll be substantial.

If you’re curious about what’s selling in your neighbourhood or just want to talk real estate, give me a call!